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Rapid Assessment of Induced Seismicity Drivers in an Operating Geothermal System

Project Overview

Following the observation of induced seismic events during geothermal operations, we delivered a targeted,
time-bound pre-study to rapidly evaluate the most likely mechanisms driving seismicity and to identify the
highest-value next steps for deeper investigation.

The goal was to provide a credible, decision-ready assessment within a tight timeframe, supporting operational
and stakeholder decisions while maintaining an appropriate level of technical rigour.

The Challenge

Induced seismicity is rarely caused by a single factor. In geothermal
systems, it can be influenced by a combination of:

  • subsurface structure and pre-existing weaknesses
  • changing reservoir conditions during operations
  • time-dependent effects that evolve as the system is cooled or pressurised
  • uncertainty in which mechanisms dominate at a given site

The Look Up Solution

We completed a focused pre-study that integrated site data with scenario-based modelling to assess plausible
induced seismicity mechanisms and support confident decision-making.

  • Consolidated structural, subsurface, and operational information into a working framework
  • Performed sensitivity-led modelling to evaluate likely response drivers
  • Ranked the parameters most likely to control stability and seismic behaviour
  • Defined a targeted plan for further analysis and measurement, if required